Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.56

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.89
Yield (%): 3.46

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 6.86 8.44 5.31 6.84 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 6.20 7.36 5.47 6.06 9 -- 1 -3.21
Annual 1/1/20 5.12 5.24 5.00 5.13 9 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.57 1.67 1.48 1.57 9 -- -- 0.19
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.61 1.12 0.30 0.51 7 -- 1 -15.11
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.41 0.63 0.24 0.41 7 -- 1 -10.97
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.40 3.60 3.21 3.41 7 -- 1 -0.75
Long Term Growth 2.90 5.39 0.40 2.90 2 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - EPS

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.03 3.02 0.41
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.19 0.18 6.59
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.36 -0.47 176.02
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 19.64 19.64 19.64 19.64 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 27.71 37.64 17.77 27.71 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 27.64 39.65 15.63 27.64 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 40.67 40.67 40.67 40.67 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 36.64 -45.77
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 33.57 -18.01
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 27.20 0.72
Quarterly 10/1/19 16.67 37.97 -56.09
Quarterly 7/1/19 15.73 32.50 -51.60
Quarterly 4/1/19 17.77 31.24 -43.13
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 37.79 -47.42

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 14.58 14.58 14.58 14.58 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 12.60 13.03 12.17 12.60 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 10.11 11.00 9.21 10.11 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.66 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -4.75 -4.75 -4.75 -4.75 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 7.70 7.70 7.70 7.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 10/1/19 4.97 6.56 -24.24
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.13 25.78 -99.50
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.32 -3.21 141.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.41 2.81 2.18 2.24 3 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.31 2.54 2.17 2.24 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 2.20 2.26 2.10 2.24 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 1.92 4.33
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 1.60 --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 0.80 -0.25
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.50 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 134.25 158.80 118.80 129.70 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 126.69 144.20 113.48 126.67 7 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 108.73 110.70 107.00 108.96 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 32.98 34.00 31.26 33.16 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 9.74 13.80 7.90 8.63 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 8.39 11.40 6.63 7.77 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 65.99 70.09 63.28 65.30 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 150.26 -14.51
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 186.48 -4.08
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 145.58 4.19
Quarterly 10/1/19 63.44 63.45 -0.01
Quarterly 7/1/19 5.83 4.44 13.90
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.63 -6.05 126.82
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 43.98 -50.38

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 206.65 220.30 193.00 206.65 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 197.48 213.00 183.00 194.80 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 178.89 187.90 170.00 179.00 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 52.32 61.90 48.50 49.44 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 29.36 30.70 26.98 30.40 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 26.67 28.30 24.42 27.30 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 83.99 88.30 80.86 82.80 3 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 218.58 -9.72
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 253.60 -2.59
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 212.52 2.31
Quarterly 10/1/19 82.26 81.24 1.25
Quarterly 7/1/19 23.38 21.30 9.76
Quarterly 4/1/19 24.25 11.70 107.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 61.28 -35.86

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 7.68 8.52 6.84 7.68 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 6.25 7.49 5.47 6.03 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 5.03 5.59 4.74 4.76 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.54 1.60 1.48 1.54 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.41 0.57 0.30 0.37 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.33 0.46 0.24 0.28 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 3.29 3.41 3.21 3.26 3 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 7.32 -17.90
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 7.77 -39.86
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 5.12 5.47
Quarterly 10/1/19 2.77 3.04 -8.78
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.10 0.18 -45.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.28 -0.46 161.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 2.04 -63.78

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 262.00 397.00 127.00 262.00 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 285.45 445.00 125.90 285.45 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 320.60 507.00 134.20 320.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 10/1/19 118.12 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 86.96 -163.00 153.35
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 106.21 123.63 91.00 104.00 3 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 94.70 110.81 79.11 92.00 7 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 80.12 81.72 78.28 79.75 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 24.07 25.86 22.41 23.89 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 6.38 9.00 4.40 6.07 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 5.16 7.10 3.47 5.03 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 49.55 53.83 45.96 49.20 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 129.26 -12.28
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 142.64 0.63
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 97.73 5.41
Quarterly 10/1/19 47.08 47.55 -1.00
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.99 2.90 0.86
Quarterly 4/1/19 5.80 -7.30 131.00
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 33.80 -47.18

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 32.15 35.30 29.00 32.15 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 31.75 34.60 28.90 31.75 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 26.10 29.30 22.69 26.30 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 30.99 -2.22
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 25.33 4.27
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 17.22 2.89

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 1,970.94 2,011.32 1,947.00 1,954.50 3 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 1,904.63 1,930.27 1,873.25 1,913.10 7 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 1,865.07 1,868.70 1,861.29 1,865.59 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 508.02 511.05 503.65 508.57 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 421.17 427.50 416.00 420.80 5 -- 1 -0.58
Quarterly 7/1/20 429.17 435.70 421.61 430.44 5 -- 1 -0.38
Quarterly 10/1/20 528.70 543.30 511.90 531.70 5 -- 1 -0.83

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 10/1/19 524.80 533.99 -1.72
Quarterly 7/1/19 420.47 428.28 -1.82
Quarterly 4/1/19 412.38 399.67 3.18
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07

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