Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.88

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.89
Yield (%): 2.92

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 7.19 7.88 6.50 7.19 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 7.55 8.92 6.15 7.78 8 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 5.64 5.75 5.39 5.70 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.08 2.20 1.86 2.12 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.92 1.88 0.50 0.82 6 -- -- 26.37
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.61 0.79 0.33 0.62 6 -- -- 6.35
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.02 3.05 2.99 3.02 8 -- -- -0.14
Long Term Growth 5.29 5.29 5.29 5.29 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - EPS

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.19 0.18 6.59
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.36 -0.47 176.02
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.07 3.07 0.15

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 18.96 18.96 18.96 18.96 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 29.74 40.90 18.58 29.74 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 28.34 39.24 17.43 28.34 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 40.40 40.40 40.40 40.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 37.97 37.97 37.97 37.97 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 36.64 -45.77
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 33.57 -18.01
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 27.20 0.72
Quarterly 7/1/19 15.73 32.50 -51.60
Quarterly 4/1/19 17.77 31.24 -43.13
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 37.79 -47.42
Quarterly 10/1/18 21.13 33.75 -37.40

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 15.19 15.19 15.19 15.19 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 13.75 14.07 13.43 13.75 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 15.20 20.36 10.03 15.20 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -5.19 -5.19 -5.19 -5.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 12.07 12.07 12.07 12.07 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.13 25.78 -99.50
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.32 -3.21 141.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 4.37 5.85 -25.30

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.54 2.81 2.26 2.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.30 2.54 2.19 2.24 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 2.20 2.28 2.09 2.21 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 1.92 4.33
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 1.60 --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 0.80 -0.25
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.50 0.50 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 145.93 146.35 145.50 145.93 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 154.91 185.29 138.00 153.45 6 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 118.84 123.29 115.43 118.52 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 43.19 47.59 38.99 44.00 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 13.81 15.91 11.50 13.93 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 12.00 14.90 8.70 12.19 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 63.70 64.60 62.71 63.62 6 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 150.26 -14.51
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 186.48 -4.08
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 145.58 4.19
Quarterly 7/1/19 5.83 4.44 13.90
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.63 -6.05 126.82
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 43.98 -50.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.54 68.34 -4.10

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 219.90 219.90 219.90 219.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 217.61 230.00 208.63 215.90 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 188.35 191.00 185.38 188.50 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 60.25 62.00 56.98 61.00 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 31.00 32.70 30.00 30.30 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 29.28 31.80 27.40 28.65 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 81.44 82.37 80.50 81.45 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 218.58 -9.72
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 253.60 -2.59
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 212.52 2.31
Quarterly 7/1/19 23.38 21.30 9.76
Quarterly 4/1/19 24.25 11.70 107.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 61.28 -35.86
Quarterly 10/1/18 82.39 85.80 -3.97

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 7.88 7.88 7.88 7.88 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 7.20 7.85 6.66 7.08 3 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 5.55 5.57 5.52 5.55 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.04 2.15 1.86 2.12 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.59 0.78 0.50 0.50 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.55 0.75 0.33 0.57 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.04 3.05 3.03 3.05 3 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 7.32 -17.90
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 7.77 -39.86
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 5.12 5.47
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.10 0.18 -45.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.28 -0.46 161.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 2.04 -63.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.03 3.06 -0.90

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 163.30 163.30 163.30 163.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 137.40 137.40 137.40 137.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 124.40 124.40 124.40 124.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 7/1/19 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 86.96 -163.00 153.35
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 -27.95 -274.00 89.80

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 107.70 107.70 107.70 107.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 116.41 138.74 97.50 117.70 6 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 88.60 91.65 84.37 89.05 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 32.12 34.94 28.25 32.70 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 10.14 13.42 7.50 9.82 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 8.32 11.50 4.90 8.45 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 47.65 48.30 46.90 47.70 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 129.26 -12.28
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 142.64 0.63
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 97.73 5.41
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.99 2.90 0.86
Quarterly 4/1/19 5.80 -7.30 131.00
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 33.80 -47.18
Quarterly 10/1/18 50.65 51.16 -1.00

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 40.80 40.80 40.80 40.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 38.30 38.30 38.30 38.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 29.48 29.56 29.40 29.48 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 30.99 -2.22
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 25.33 4.27
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 17.22 2.89

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2,026.60 2,026.60 2,026.60 2,026.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 1,990.94 2,036.80 1,973.58 1,983.92 6 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 1,922.50 1,929.00 1,917.90 1,921.72 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 555.22 561.40 550.00 554.78 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 434.56 454.10 425.60 430.30 5 -- -- 1.14
Quarterly 7/1/20 429.81 441.50 402.80 435.09 5 -- -- -1.55
Quarterly 10/1/19 534.44 535.88 531.45 534.90 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 7/1/19 420.47 428.28 -1.82
Quarterly 4/1/19 412.38 399.67 3.18
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 522.50 511.19 2.21

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