Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.86

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 1.92
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 12.78
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 40.28
Yield (%): 1.86

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 12.69 12.69 12.69 12.69 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 8.04 10.26 6.55 8.10 7 1 3 1.74
Annual 1/1/20 5.60 6.08 5.27 5.60 7 1 2 -0.74
Quarterly 4/1/19 -0.55 -0.42 -0.70 -0.53 7 -- 4 0.79
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.18 0.46 -0.34 0.27 6 1 4 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.52 3.75 3.28 3.51 6 1 1 -0.09
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.50 2.96 2.17 2.45 6 1 1 -1.60
Long Term Growth 9.70 9.70 9.70 9.70 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - EPS

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.07 3.07 0.15
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.70 0.59 19.61
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.87 2.21 -15.41

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 43.57 43.57 43.57 43.57 1 -- 1 0.39
Annual 1/1/20 36.13 36.13 36.13 36.13 1 -- 1 0.44
Quarterly 4/1/19 31.23 31.23 31.23 31.23 1 -- 1 0.51
Quarterly 7/1/19 31.22 31.22 31.22 31.22 1 -- 1 0.58
Quarterly 10/1/19 34.25 34.25 34.25 34.25 1 -- 1 0.47
Quarterly 1/1/20 37.06 37.06 37.06 37.06 1 -- 1 0.46

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 21.13 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 19.65 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 20.84 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 14.21 14.21 14.21 14.21 1 1 -- --
Annual 1/1/20 12.55 12.55 12.55 12.55 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -3.21 -3.21 -3.21 -3.21 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -0.39 -0.39 -0.39 -0.39 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.39 6.39 6.39 6.39 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 14.38 -17.87
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 4.37 5.85 -25.30
Quarterly 7/1/18 1.44 0.62 132.26
Quarterly 4/1/18 -0.72 -1.92 62.50

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.22 2.40 1.78 2.36 4 1 1 4.00
Annual 1/1/20 2.07 2.36 1.76 2.09 4 -- 1 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.54 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.54 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.54 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.54 0.59 0.50 0.54 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 0.50 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 153.21 153.21 153.21 153.21 1 1 -- --
Annual 1/1/21 165.63 203.89 143.51 161.30 5 2 -- 0.03
Annual 1/1/20 122.73 129.20 115.12 122.81 5 1 1 -1.43
Quarterly 4/1/19 -6.40 2.27 -12.40 -8.29 5 1 1 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 3.31 11.00 -6.73 5.59 5 1 1 1.22
Quarterly 10/1/19 73.59 80.50 67.35 72.88 5 1 1 -0.74
Quarterly 1/1/20 52.22 62.73 47.92 49.34 5 1 1 -2.40

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.54 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 15.72 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 25.37 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 301.00 301.00 301.00 301.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 225.20 237.05 217.13 223.30 4 2 -- 0.76
Annual 1/1/20 188.39 195.00 178.07 190.25 4 1 1 -1.16
Quarterly 4/1/19 10.51 18.01 4.30 9.87 4 1 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 18.64 27.00 9.01 19.28 4 1 1 0.27
Quarterly 10/1/19 92.51 97.30 85.97 93.39 4 1 1 -0.73
Quarterly 1/1/20 66.48 69.80 65.04 65.54 4 1 1 -2.35

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 82.39 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 32.31 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 42.78 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 12.69 12.69 12.69 12.69 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 8.00 8.88 7.01 8.10 3 1 1 --
Annual 1/1/20 5.47 5.68 5.27 5.45 3 1 1 -1.77
Quarterly 4/1/19 -0.56 -0.42 -0.70 -0.56 3 -- 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -0.07 0.18 -0.34 -0.04 3 -- 2 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.61 3.75 3.50 3.58 3 1 1 -0.18
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.55 2.76 2.37 2.52 3 1 1 -3.14

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.03 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.45 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 1.78 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -86.00 -86.00 -86.00 -86.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 1 1 -- 0.79
Annual 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 1 -- 0.71
Quarterly 4/1/19 -163.00 -163.00 -163.00 -163.00 1 1 -- 1.23
Quarterly 7/1/19 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 1 1 -- 2.40
Quarterly 10/1/19 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 1 1 -- 1.30
Quarterly 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 1 -- 0.71

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 -27.95 -274.00 89.80
Quarterly 7/1/18 -17.07 -218.00 92.17
Quarterly 4/1/18 -43.32 -209.00 79.27

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 176.00 176.00 176.00 176.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 126.88 159.50 106.72 123.90 5 1 1 -0.01
Annual 1/1/20 89.79 96.82 83.83 90.10 5 -- 2 -1.35
Quarterly 4/1/19 -8.63 -6.90 -11.38 -8.49 5 -- 2 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 1.94 7.00 -5.41 2.84 5 1 1 1.99
Quarterly 10/1/19 56.26 60.30 52.48 56.13 5 1 1 -0.50
Quarterly 1/1/20 40.20 46.99 35.00 39.70 5 1 1 -2.40

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 50.65 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 11.67 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 33.20 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 61.70 61.70 61.70 61.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 59.90 59.90 59.90 59.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 27.72 27.72 27.72 27.72 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 57.10 57.10 57.10 57.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 91.20 91.20 91.20 91.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 80.10 80.10 80.10 80.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/18 8.13 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2,025.00 2,025.00 2,025.00 2,025.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 1,965.23 2,030.23 1,931.53 1,955.50 5 1 1 -0.21
Annual 1/1/20 1,900.04 1,941.30 1,868.29 1,895.40 5 -- 2 -0.33
Quarterly 4/1/19 388.09 394.80 380.06 389.79 5 -- 3 --
Quarterly 7/1/19 421.55 435.60 403.05 429.00 5 -- 3 --
Quarterly 10/1/19 530.74 543.20 513.30 529.40 5 1 1 -0.59
Quarterly 1/1/20 559.66 567.70 542.20 562.16 5 1 1 -0.57

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 522.50 511.19 2.21
Quarterly 7/1/18 448.72 427.89 4.87
Quarterly 4/1/18 436.31 444.01 -1.73

Copyright Thomson Reuters Corporation

Print Page
RSS Feeds
Email Alerts
IR Contacts
Corporate Site