Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.63

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 5.36
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 12.53
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 4.20 5.00 3.69 4.07 4 2 -- 26.16
Annual 1/1/22 3.19 4.04 2.53 3.17 8 2 -- 4.33
Annual 1/1/21 -2.45 -1.94 -3.18 -2.37 7 2 -- -3.36
Quarterly 1/1/21 -0.36 0.06 -1.19 -0.30 8 2 -- -29.31
Quarterly 4/1/21 -0.37 0.26 -0.72 -0.40 6 -- -- -1.17
Quarterly 7/1/21 -0.30 -0.18 -0.59 -0.25 6 -- -- 7.36
Quarterly 10/1/21 2.62 3.12 2.31 2.55 6 -- -- -1.29

Actuals - EPS

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 5.36 5.11 4.85
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Quarterly 10/1/20 1.44 0.36 297.79
Quarterly 7/1/20 -1.48 -1.14 -30.24
Quarterly 4/1/20 -1.96 -2.26 13.26
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.85 1.57 17.53

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 15.61
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 8.66 8.66 8.66 8.66 1 1 -- 256.38
Annual 1/1/22 11.85 17.79 5.91 11.85 2 1 -- 18.74
Annual 1/1/21 11.26 17.70 4.82 11.26 2 1 -- 5.58
Quarterly 1/1/21 17.69 17.69 17.69 17.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 15.61 27.60 -43.43
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 36.64 -45.77
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 33.57 -18.01
Quarterly 10/1/20 5.30 25.91 -79.53
Quarterly 7/1/20 4.23 28.28 -85.03
Quarterly 4/1/20 7.22 42.02 -82.81
Quarterly 1/1/20 15.61 40.67 -61.61

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 11.37
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 9.61 9.61 9.61 9.61 1 1 -- 31.46
Annual 1/1/22 8.39 8.82 7.96 8.39 2 1 -- 16.29
Annual 1/1/21 -1.48 0.83 -3.78 -1.48 2 1 -- 24.36
Quarterly 1/1/21 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 1 -- -- 64.84
Quarterly 4/1/21 2.93 2.93 2.93 2.93 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 -0.09 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 5.69 5.69 5.69 5.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 11.37 10.63 7.01
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/20 2.22 -0.51 539.60
Quarterly 7/1/20 -2.92 -2.08 -40.34
Quarterly 4/1/20 -2.77 -1.59 -74.21
Quarterly 1/1/20 5.12 4.92 4.07

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.24
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 0.75 2.25 -- -- 3 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/22 0.90 2.25 -- -- 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 0.45 1.12 -- 0.56 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/21 0.19 0.56 -- -- 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/21 0.28 0.56 -- 0.28 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/21 0.28 0.56 -- 0.28 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/21 0.28 0.56 -- 0.28 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 2.24 2.20 1.66
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 1.92 4.33
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 1.60 --
Quarterly 10/1/20 -- 0.19 -100.00
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 111.31
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 93.34 105.95 84.80 91.31 4 2 -- 22.01
Annual 1/1/22 73.09 88.00 57.96 76.91 6 2 -- 6.90
Annual 1/1/21 -34.74 -27.75 -46.89 -31.00 5 2 -- -5.27
Quarterly 1/1/21 -3.23 1.73 -17.43 -1.14 6 2 -- -126.39
Quarterly 4/1/21 -4.28 -3.60 -4.97 -4.27 3 -- -- 7.35
Quarterly 7/1/21 -1.44 0.50 -3.33 -1.48 3 -- -- 40.27
Quarterly 10/1/21 51.03 55.60 42.78 54.70 3 -- -- 3.73

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 111.31 108.50 2.59
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 150.26 -14.51
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 186.48 -4.08
Quarterly 10/1/20 33.31 10.65 212.70
Quarterly 7/1/20 -25.25 -22.02 -14.65
Quarterly 4/1/20 -37.55 -38.02 1.25
Quarterly 1/1/20 35.41 33.23 6.56

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 186.10
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 160.93 172.75 144.73 165.30 3 2 -- 18.62
Annual 1/1/22 139.87 153.30 117.89 143.59 5 2 -- 4.70
Annual 1/1/21 29.72 35.47 11.71 34.40 5 2 -- -9.73
Quarterly 1/1/21 14.87 16.72 13.00 14.89 4 1 -- 9.58
Quarterly 4/1/21 11.99 14.70 10.02 11.26 3 -- -- 12.73
Quarterly 7/1/21 14.56 18.80 11.66 13.22 3 -- -- 17.05
Quarterly 10/1/21 67.14 72.90 57.76 70.76 3 -- -- 4.48

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 186.10 176.61 5.37
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 218.58 -9.72
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 253.60 -2.59
Quarterly 10/1/20 49.12 22.72 116.25
Quarterly 7/1/20 -8.54 -7.88 -6.63
Quarterly 4/1/20 -19.66 -20.01 1.76
Quarterly 1/1/20 54.33 50.32 7.96

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 4.68
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 3.81 5.00 2.58 3.84 3 2 -- 65.51
Annual 1/1/22 2.93 3.35 2.02 3.17 4 2 -- 15.71
Annual 1/1/21 -11.07 -10.80 -11.33 -11.07 2 2 -- -0.41
Quarterly 1/1/21 -0.50 -0.20 -1.19 -0.30 4 2 -- -42.14
Quarterly 4/1/21 -0.33 -0.21 -0.40 -0.39 3 -- -- -9.29
Quarterly 7/1/21 -0.24 -0.18 -0.29 -0.25 3 -- -- 11.11
Quarterly 10/1/21 2.26 2.64 1.68 2.45 3 -- -- 4.48

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 4.68 5.01 -6.59
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 7.32 -17.90
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 7.77 -39.86
Quarterly 10/1/20 0.91 0.38 141.06
Quarterly 7/1/20 -3.19 -1.26 -152.67
Quarterly 4/1/20 -7.86 -2.32 -238.43
Quarterly 1/1/20 1.61 1.56 2.99

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 102.32
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 223.83 241.00 206.66 223.83 2 -- 1 -11.69
Annual 1/1/22 276.61 402.00 166.00 261.84 3 -- 1 -3.35
Annual 1/1/21 322.12 537.00 103.00 326.35 3 -- 1 -0.11
Quarterly 1/1/21 103.00 103.00 103.00 103.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 102.32 318.55 -67.88
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Quarterly 10/1/20 192.54 144.00 33.71
Quarterly 7/1/20 214.70 191.00 12.41
Quarterly 4/1/20 162.80 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 102.32 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 83.84
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 65.15 72.44 60.00 63.00 3 2 -- 37.73
Annual 1/1/22 47.41 59.00 37.10 47.65 6 2 -- 5.37
Annual 1/1/21 -36.04 -28.38 -46.44 -33.57 5 2 -- -4.72
Quarterly 1/1/21 -5.01 0.81 -17.27 -3.69 6 2 -- -50.00
Quarterly 4/1/21 -5.45 -4.58 -5.90 -5.88 3 -- -- -4.26
Quarterly 7/1/21 -3.21 -2.80 -3.78 -3.05 3 -- -- 6.00
Quarterly 10/1/21 37.00 39.69 33.80 37.50 3 -- -- 0.69

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 83.84 79.99 4.81
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 129.26 -12.28
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 142.64 0.63
Quarterly 10/1/20 21.11 5.97 151.37
Quarterly 7/1/20 -21.70 -18.44 -17.70
Quarterly 4/1/20 -28.60 -28.91 1.06
Quarterly 1/1/20 27.98 24.26 15.34

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 26.70 26.70 26.70 26.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 30.51
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 51.29 68.58 34.00 51.29 2 -- -- -28.16
Annual 1/1/22 49.19 62.38 36.00 49.19 2 -- -- 55.03
Annual 1/1/21 -25.95 -11.10 -36.30 -30.45 3 -- -- 19.74

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 30.51 26.16 4.35
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 30.99 -2.22
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 25.33 4.27

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,870.67
FY0 End Date: 1/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/23 1,730.76 1,828.65 1,637.80 1,725.82 3 2 -- 10.15
Annual 1/1/22 1,662.05 1,721.78 1,598.24 1,664.28 6 2 -- 2.13
Annual 1/1/21 1,469.91 1,474.80 1,464.30 1,470.41 6 2 -- -0.04
Quarterly 1/1/21 420.16 425.10 414.60 420.64 6 2 -- -0.13
Quarterly 4/1/21 320.46 339.80 309.90 316.08 4 -- -- -1.09
Quarterly 7/1/21 391.29 405.80 379.23 390.06 4 -- -- -0.34
Quarterly 10/1/21 477.03 505.90 454.94 473.64 4 -- -- 0.43

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/20 1,870.67 1,867.35 0.18
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Quarterly 10/1/20 425.57 392.13 8.53
Quarterly 7/1/20 368.92 365.21 1.02
Quarterly 4/1/20 255.21 270.60 -5.69
Quarterly 1/1/20 513.02 510.69 0.46

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