Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.78

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.89
Yield (%): 2.83

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 8.38 8.87 7.90 8.38 2 -- 1 -1.06
Annual 1/1/21 8.39 10.42 7.05 8.40 9 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 6.16 6.40 5.96 6.22 8 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.14 2.28 1.80 2.17 8 -- 1 -0.87
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.76 1.01 0.42 0.83 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.18 0.25 0.10 0.19 8 1 -- 5.24
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.50 3.71 3.41 3.45 8 1 -- 0.25
Long Term Growth 9.70 9.70 9.70 9.70 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - EPS

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.36 -0.47 176.02
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.07 3.07 0.15
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.70 0.59 19.61

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 18.16 18.16 18.16 18.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 33.61 45.16 22.05 33.61 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 28.60 36.60 20.59 28.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 37.63 37.63 37.63 37.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 35.12 35.12 35.12 35.12 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 36.64 -45.77
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 33.57 -18.01
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 27.20 0.72
Quarterly 4/1/19 17.77 31.24 -43.13
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 37.79 -47.42
Quarterly 10/1/18 21.13 33.75 -37.40
Quarterly 7/1/18 19.65 29.90 -34.27

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 15.44 15.44 15.44 15.44 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 14.14 14.21 14.07 14.14 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 11.59 12.73 10.45 11.59 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -18.09 -18.09 -18.09 -18.09 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 25.78 25.78 25.78 25.78 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.32 -3.21 141.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 4.37 5.85 -25.30
Quarterly 7/1/18 1.44 0.62 132.26

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.53 2.81 2.26 2.53 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.38 2.58 2.19 2.36 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 2.20 2.25 2.09 2.24 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 1.92 4.33
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 1.60 --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 0.80 -0.25
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.50 0.50 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 153.46 154.00 152.91 153.46 2 -- 1 -0.97
Annual 1/1/21 170.20 207.14 142.79 165.80 7 -- 1 -0.58
Annual 1/1/20 128.51 132.21 124.14 128.80 7 -- 1 -1.67
Quarterly 1/1/20 45.24 48.25 41.91 46.00 7 -- 1 -1.37
Quarterly 4/1/20 15.33 17.45 13.07 15.48 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 4.38 6.20 2.94 4.27 7 -- 1 -6.69
Quarterly 10/1/19 72.44 74.18 71.50 72.27 7 -- 1 -0.65

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 150.26 -14.51
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 186.48 -4.08
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 145.58 4.19
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.63 -6.05 126.82
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 43.98 -50.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.54 68.34 -4.10
Quarterly 7/1/18 15.72 12.73 23.50

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 232.45 250.57 215.60 232.20 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 200.13 218.20 192.48 195.80 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 63.05 69.70 58.92 63.30 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 32.67 33.80 31.54 32.67 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 21.76 25.50 20.30 20.60 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 90.43 93.70 87.90 90.15 5 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 218.58 -9.72
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 253.60 -2.59
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 212.52 2.31
Quarterly 4/1/19 24.25 11.70 107.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 61.28 -35.86
Quarterly 10/1/18 82.39 85.80 -3.97
Quarterly 7/1/18 32.31 30.53 5.85

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 1 -- 1 -2.23
Annual 1/1/21 7.91 9.10 7.05 7.75 4 -- 1 -2.34
Annual 1/1/20 6.14 6.26 5.96 6.16 4 1 -- 1.74
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.18 2.28 2.08 2.17 4 -- 1 -3.87
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.77 0.91 0.63 0.77 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.18 0.25 0.10 0.19 4 -- 1 -9.88
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.47 3.58 3.41 3.45 4 -- 1 -2.53

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 7.32 -17.90
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 7.77 -39.86
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 5.12 5.47
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.28 -0.46 161.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 2.04 -63.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.03 3.06 -0.90
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.45 0.58 -22.75

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 4/1/19 86.96 -163.00 153.35
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 -27.95 -274.00 89.80
Quarterly 7/1/18 -17.07 -218.00 92.17

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 113.60 113.60 113.60 113.60 1 1 -- 0.89
Annual 1/1/21 129.88 161.98 106.10 126.10 7 1 -- 0.22
Annual 1/1/20 97.97 102.11 94.00 97.20 7 1 -- 0.81
Quarterly 1/1/20 34.36 36.13 32.15 35.00 7 -- 2 -1.56
Quarterly 4/1/20 12.39 14.46 9.67 13.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.84 4.00 1.60 3.00 7 -- 2 -0.50
Quarterly 10/1/19 55.13 57.65 53.50 54.79 7 -- 2 -0.18

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 129.26 -12.28
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 142.64 0.63
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 97.73 5.41
Quarterly 4/1/19 5.80 -7.30 131.00
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 33.80 -47.18
Quarterly 10/1/18 50.65 51.16 -1.00
Quarterly 7/1/18 11.67 9.99 16.78

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 44.80 44.80 44.80 44.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 42.20 42.20 42.20 42.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 33.26 34.60 31.92 33.26 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 30.99 -2.22
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 25.33 4.27
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 17.22 2.89

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2,057.50 2,057.50 2,057.50 2,057.50 1 1 -- 0.48
Annual 1/1/21 2,007.47 2,049.19 1,975.03 2,016.00 7 -- 1 -0.26
Annual 1/1/20 1,931.09 1,952.70 1,918.68 1,925.90 7 -- 1 -0.45
Quarterly 1/1/20 560.99 575.60 551.20 559.13 7 -- 1 -0.60
Quarterly 4/1/20 433.87 441.80 429.85 429.96 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 423.88 431.80 419.51 421.00 7 -- 1 -0.29
Quarterly 10/1/19 533.89 543.20 529.24 531.55 7 -- 1 -0.34

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 4/1/19 412.38 399.67 3.18
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 522.50 511.19 2.21
Quarterly 7/1/18 448.72 427.89 4.87

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