Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.89
Yield (%): 2.80

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 8.13 10.00 6.50 7.90 3 -- -- 12.95
Annual 1/1/21 7.42 8.03 6.15 7.70 9 -- 2 -1.69
Annual 1/1/20 5.62 5.72 5.39 5.66 9 -- 1 -0.27
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.06 2.17 1.86 2.10 8 -- 1 -0.84
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.89 1.88 0.49 0.78 7 -- 1 -3.11
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.59 0.79 0.33 0.60 7 -- 1 -3.48
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.02 3.06 2.99 3.02 9 1 -- 0.09
Long Term Growth 5.39 5.39 5.39 5.39 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - EPS

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.19 0.18 6.59
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.36 -0.47 176.02
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.07 3.07 0.15

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 19.17 19.17 19.17 19.17 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 29.83 40.90 18.76 29.83 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 28.34 39.24 17.44 28.34 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 40.40 40.40 40.40 40.40 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 37.97 37.97 37.97 37.97 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 36.64 -45.77
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 33.57 -18.01
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 27.20 0.72
Quarterly 7/1/19 15.73 32.50 -51.60
Quarterly 4/1/19 17.77 31.24 -43.13
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 37.79 -47.42
Quarterly 10/1/18 21.13 33.75 -37.40

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 15.21 15.21 15.21 15.21 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 13.76 14.08 13.43 13.76 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 12.30 14.16 10.44 12.30 2 -- 1 -20.13
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.39 6.39 6.39 6.39 1 -- 1 -2.59
Quarterly 4/1/20 -5.19 -5.19 -5.19 -5.19 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 6.56 6.56 6.56 6.56 1 -- 1 -45.65

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.13 25.78 -99.50
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.32 -3.21 141.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 4.37 5.85 -25.30

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.54 2.81 2.26 2.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.33 2.54 2.19 2.30 4 1 -- 1.30
Annual 1/1/20 2.20 2.28 2.09 2.21 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.60 0.63 0.56 0.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 1.92 4.33
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 1.60 --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 0.80 -0.25
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.56 0.56 --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 0.50 --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.50 0.50 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 162.34 194.62 145.90 146.51 3 1 -- 11.10
Annual 1/1/21 151.13 164.76 136.00 153.45 6 -- 2 -2.42
Annual 1/1/20 118.30 121.30 115.30 118.38 6 -- 2 -0.36
Quarterly 1/1/20 42.78 45.12 38.89 44.05 6 -- 2 -0.99
Quarterly 4/1/20 13.79 15.91 11.60 13.82 4 -- 1 -0.38
Quarterly 7/1/20 11.29 14.90 8.60 10.83 4 -- 1 -5.68
Quarterly 10/1/19 63.59 64.60 62.40 63.62 6 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 150.26 -14.51
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 186.48 -4.08
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 145.58 4.19
Quarterly 7/1/19 5.83 4.44 13.90
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.63 -6.05 126.82
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 43.98 -50.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.54 68.34 -4.10

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 220.30 220.30 220.30 220.30 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 217.61 230.00 208.63 215.90 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 189.02 191.00 187.90 188.58 4 1 -- 0.46
Quarterly 1/1/20 60.27 62.00 56.98 61.05 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 31.03 32.70 30.00 30.40 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 29.25 31.80 27.30 28.65 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 81.24 82.37 80.10 81.25 4 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 218.58 -9.72
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 253.60 -2.59
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 212.52 2.31
Quarterly 7/1/19 23.38 21.30 9.76
Quarterly 4/1/19 24.25 11.70 107.31
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 61.28 -35.86
Quarterly 10/1/18 82.39 85.80 -3.97

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 7.16 7.85 6.56 7.08 3 -- 1 -0.46
Annual 1/1/20 5.53 5.54 5.52 5.53 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.04 2.15 1.86 2.12 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.59 0.78 0.49 0.50 3 -- 1 -0.56
Quarterly 7/1/20 0.50 0.75 0.33 0.43 3 -- 1 -8.48
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.04 3.06 3.02 3.03 3 1 -- 0.11

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 7.32 -17.90
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 7.77 -39.86
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 5.12 5.47
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.10 0.18 -45.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.28 -0.46 161.20
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 2.04 -63.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.03 3.06 -0.90

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 153.40 153.40 153.40 153.40 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 128.00 128.00 128.00 128.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 117.50 117.50 117.50 117.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 7/1/19 131.00 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 86.96 -163.00 153.35
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 -27.95 -274.00 89.80

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 129.64 151.57 107.70 129.64 2 -- -- 20.37
Annual 1/1/21 113.59 124.39 96.00 117.70 6 -- 2 -2.42
Annual 1/1/20 88.20 90.30 84.29 88.70 6 -- 2 -0.36
Quarterly 1/1/20 31.82 33.20 28.17 32.75 6 -- 2 -1.00
Quarterly 4/1/20 10.10 13.42 7.38 9.80 4 -- 1 -0.39
Quarterly 7/1/20 7.79 11.50 4.80 7.43 4 -- 1 -6.15
Quarterly 10/1/19 47.55 48.30 46.30 47.70 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 129.26 -12.28
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 142.64 0.63
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 97.73 5.41
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.99 2.90 0.86
Quarterly 4/1/19 5.80 -7.30 131.00
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 33.80 -47.18
Quarterly 10/1/18 50.65 51.16 -1.00

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 40.50 40.50 40.50 40.50 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 38.00 38.00 38.00 38.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 26.79 29.20 24.37 26.79 2 -- -- -8.83

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 30.99 -2.22
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 25.33 4.27
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 17.22 2.89

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2,066.95 2,108.70 2,025.20 2,066.95 2 -- -- 2.06
Annual 1/1/21 1,988.60 2,024.11 1,973.58 1,983.92 6 -- 1 -0.11
Annual 1/1/20 1,922.06 1,927.20 1,917.90 1,921.72 6 -- 1 -0.01
Quarterly 1/1/20 555.13 561.70 550.00 554.36 6 -- 1 -0.02
Quarterly 4/1/20 431.68 439.70 425.60 430.30 5 -- 1 -0.66
Quarterly 7/1/20 438.05 443.90 432.15 437.60 5 1 -- 1.91
Quarterly 10/1/19 534.09 535.88 531.45 534.50 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 7/1/19 420.47 428.28 -1.82
Quarterly 4/1/19 412.38 399.67 3.18
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 522.50 511.19 2.21

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