Earnings Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.89

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - EPS

Last Actual (FY0): 6.75
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: 2.24
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 20.89
Yield (%): 2.40

Analyst Forecasts - EPS

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 8.47 8.87 8.08 8.47 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 8.39 10.42 7.05 8.40 9 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 6.16 6.40 5.96 6.22 8 -- 1 -0.30
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.16 2.38 1.80 2.18 8 -- 1 -1.03
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.76 1.01 0.42 0.83 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.17 0.20 0.10 0.18 8 1 -- 2.30
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.49 3.71 3.34 3.45 8 -- -- --
Long Term Growth 9.70 9.70 9.70 9.70 1 -- -- 0.00

Actuals - EPS

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.75 7.75 -12.86
Annual 1/1/18 7.91 7.88 0.42
Annual 1/1/17 5.43 5.16 5.21
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.36 -0.47 176.02
Quarterly 1/1/19 1.10 2.10 -47.73
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.07 3.07 0.15
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.70 0.59 19.61

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 19.87
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 18.16 18.16 18.16 18.16 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 33.61 45.16 22.05 33.61 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 28.60 36.60 20.59 28.60 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 37.63 37.63 37.63 37.63 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 32.50 32.50 32.50 32.50 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 35.12 35.12 35.12 35.12 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 19.87 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 27.52 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 27.40 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 17.77 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 19.87 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 21.13 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 19.65 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 8.33
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 15.44 15.44 15.44 15.44 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 14.14 14.21 14.07 14.14 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 12.82 12.90 12.73 12.82 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 6.01 6.01 6.01 6.01 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -18.09 -18.09 -18.09 -18.09 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 25.78 25.78 25.78 25.78 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 8.33 14.18 -41.29
Annual 1/1/18 11.81 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 10.51 11.93 -11.89
Quarterly 4/1/19 1.32 -3.21 141.12
Quarterly 1/1/19 3.47 5.37 -35.38
Quarterly 10/1/18 4.37 5.85 -25.30
Quarterly 7/1/18 1.44 0.62 132.26

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.00
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2.53 2.81 2.26 2.53 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2.44 2.81 2.19 2.36 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 2.26 2.53 2.09 2.24 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 2.00 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 1.60 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 0.80 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.56 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 0.50 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.50 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 128.46
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 154.96 157.00 152.91 154.96 2 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 171.19 207.14 142.79 165.80 7 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 130.69 146.20 124.14 128.80 7 -- 1 -0.34
Quarterly 1/1/20 45.87 51.70 41.91 46.00 7 -- 1 -1.22
Quarterly 4/1/20 15.33 17.45 13.07 15.48 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 4.70 8.40 2.94 4.27 7 1 -- 2.66
Quarterly 10/1/19 72.91 75.70 71.50 72.27 7 -- -- --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 128.46 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 178.88 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 151.68 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 6.63 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 21.82 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 65.54 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 15.72 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 197.34
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 232.45 250.57 215.60 232.20 5 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 200.13 218.20 192.48 195.80 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 63.05 69.70 58.92 63.30 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 32.67 33.80 31.54 32.67 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 21.76 25.50 20.30 20.60 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 90.43 93.70 87.90 90.15 5 -- -- --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 197.34 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 247.03 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 217.42 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 24.25 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 39.30 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 82.39 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 32.31 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.01
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 8.08 8.08 8.08 8.08 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 8.10 9.10 7.05 8.13 4 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 6.37 7.10 5.96 6.21 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 2.26 2.58 2.08 2.20 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 0.77 0.91 0.63 0.77 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 0.20 0.33 0.10 0.19 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 3.56 3.77 3.41 3.53 4 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 6.01 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 4.67 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 5.40 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 0.28 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 0.74 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 3.03 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 0.45 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): -20.28
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/21 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 -378.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 -281.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 -167.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 -230.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Annual 1/1/18 -238.06 -308.00 22.71
Annual 1/1/17 -227.63 -247.85 8.16
Quarterly 4/1/19 86.96 -163.00 153.35
Quarterly 1/1/19 -20.28 -326.00 93.78
Quarterly 10/1/18 -27.95 -274.00 89.80
Quarterly 7/1/18 -17.07 -218.00 92.17

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 113.38
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 112.60 112.60 112.60 112.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 129.60 161.98 105.70 126.10 7 -- 1 -0.00
Annual 1/1/20 97.18 102.11 91.50 97.20 7 -- 1 -0.35
Quarterly 1/1/20 34.91 38.80 32.15 35.00 7 -- 1 -1.21
Quarterly 4/1/20 12.39 14.46 9.67 13.06 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 2.86 4.10 1.60 3.00 7 1 -- 3.09
Quarterly 10/1/19 55.23 57.65 53.50 54.79 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 113.38 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 143.54 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 103.02 -- --
Quarterly 4/1/19 5.80 -- --
Quarterly 1/1/19 17.85 -- --
Quarterly 10/1/18 50.65 -- --
Quarterly 7/1/18 11.67 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 1/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 10/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 28.77
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 44.80 44.80 44.80 44.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 35.90 35.90 35.90 35.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/20 33.26 34.60 31.92 33.26 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 28.77 -- --
Annual 1/1/18 29.60 -- --
Annual 1/1/17 20.11 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,938.08
FY0 End Date: 1/1/19
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1/1/22 2,047.60 2,047.60 2,047.60 2,047.60 1 -- -- --
Annual 1/1/21 2,012.61 2,053.70 1,975.03 2,016.00 7 -- 1 -0.00
Annual 1/1/20 1,939.82 2,013.80 1,918.68 1,925.90 7 -- 1 -0.00
Quarterly 1/1/20 564.40 599.50 551.20 559.13 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 4/1/20 433.87 441.80 429.85 429.96 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 7/1/19 425.10 436.10 419.51 421.00 7 -- 1 -0.00
Quarterly 10/1/19 535.70 549.90 529.24 531.55 7 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 1/1/19 1,938.08 1,960.68 -1.15
Annual 1/1/18 1,870.28 1,874.26 -0.21
Annual 1/1/17 1,785.32 1,787.07 -0.10
Quarterly 4/1/19 412.38 399.67 3.18
Quarterly 1/1/19 530.56 553.06 -4.07
Quarterly 10/1/18 522.50 511.19 2.21
Quarterly 7/1/18 448.72 427.89 4.87

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